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How a Minimum Floor Price on tobacco can achieve better policy objectives in Scotland

Publication Details

This report examines whether a minimum floor price for tobacco can achieve better policy objectives in Scotland, including public health outcomes. A choice-modelling exercise, with a representative sample of over 1,000 adult smokers in Scotland has been conducted to test the extent to which the price of tobacco influences smoking behaviours.

The findings of this report support a minimum floor price for tobacco as a strategy that could contribute to the aims of the Scottish Government’s Tobacco Control Action Plan. However, the Scottish Government will need to carefully balance minimum prices against tobacco duty policy in the rest of the UK, as well as the potential outflow to illicit sources, which could increase substantially under all scenarios which we have modelled.